As no one has made a bet offer, I'll make one. I'll bet my $500 to your $100 that the 1/1/2022 consensus medical estimate on median #covid19 immunity duration after recovery is >6 months.
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I'm willing to bet that by 2022 the standard estimate of the median duration of immunity due to recovery from #Covid19 is at least three months. Anyone want to bet against me? twitter.com/robinhanson/st…
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