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Yeah I think people are too quick to assume "oh yeah doing a little bit is probably right". The number line is *large*; what are the odds you happen to be really near the global maximum and also that it isn't "none" or "as much as possible"?

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and

Wait, what would be as much as possible? 50% of GDP? If the stimulus is considered a ‘simulation/proxy’ of the economy during the downtime caused by the virus, it could evolve in correlation with the severity of this health crisis until it’s resolved

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and

Yeah I think that it's a pretty large number--if the economy is 50% shut down for 4 months then I think 2 months of GDP is a reasonable amount, which would be something like $15T globally.

12:08 AM · Mar 25, 2020Twitter Web App

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