Meteorologist (PhD)
Forecasting 
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PPS
Despite evidence & research the weight of conventional wisdom is heavy
Compare this group of NOAA GFDL authors who say at one place that climate change "probably" increasing intensity (L) & elsewhere it is "premature to conclude with high confidence" (R)
Confusing? Yeah
pic.twitter.com/9rU9V6P4Jv
The observational record is pretty clear -- there has been NO recent increase in number of global major hurricanes. 
How do we know this?
A simple counting exercise:
Last 18-years (2003-2021): 442 MH
Previous 18-years (1985-2003): 438 MH
I'll go with "premature" (R)pic.twitter.com/OKwDPnCkj7
18 years as the cutoff isn't *at all* suspicious
Do you see an obvious pattern, then? I don't think you can look at this and really conclude anything.pic.twitter.com/KTAVKet6kX
I’d be interesting to compare these numbers to what they would be in the different basins, to see if there is a change in the number of hurricanes in different locations.
Last years hurricane season, which is touted as a cause of "climate change", had an ACE of 178.8 is nowhere near a record year.
It was actually 181 ace, so you’re quite wrong there. And ace is really only good for measuring longevity of tc, so it’s not a good way of determining tc frequency. But that’s besides the point.
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Happy Monday
I'm going to let you in on a secret
It is out in the open but I doubt you've heard about it
Th most recent CMIP6 modeling studies of tropical cyclones/hurricanes project no detectable changes in storm metrics most associated with damage ... under RCP8.5 ... 1/n
