Meteorologist PhD
| Listen to the Science | Historian | Data Scientist @bamwxcom | Weather Map Maker @weathermodels_ | Cat 6 
| Free ex parte opinions
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Very concerning shift in the EPS ensemble guidance with Hurricane #Florence ... must now seriously consider this storm a U.S. landfall threat.
Still considerable uncertainty about a possible / hopeful turn away from the coast out to sea.
Continue to monitor thru the weekend.pic.twitter.com/m692qfL48s
Looking at the "spaghettios" or individual ensembles, we are more concerned b/c of the southern side batch that head directly WNW into the SE US coastline. But note there are still half that do not ... Longer range forecasts past 5 or 7 days are fraught with difficulty.pic.twitter.com/HSWDAiBUXe
Something about an "F" storm "Fran, Flyod, Francis" to name a few, that just gives me that un easy feeling.
If it hovers over PA/NY expect CATASTROPHIC flooding
What do the different colors represent?
Central pressure
Wow very unusual angle for A storm coming into east coast starting to get comcerned here in N.C. a bit
hi. That's not how this works. That's not how any of this works. Those are the outputs of one model using different parameters. That is not anyone's forecast.
@nhc not buying the more westerly track (yet?).pic.twitter.com/mYMPOuqEfs
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