Rules for Rationals

@Rules4Rationals

only listening to your perspective clouds reality, so here’s mine

Vrijeme pridruživanja: siječanj 2020.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    4. velj

    1/ Discussion Thread: Josh Wolfe x Mike Green Interview Whenever gives an interview it’s worth listening to, and this interview is no exception. Thread contains my interpretations/thoughts as well.

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  3. 4. velj

    28/ Very enjoyable interview, thanks for continuing to put out great content Keep on building the future. Disclaimer: I am not an investor in Lux Capital and it’s future financial success is (unfortunately) not really linked to mine in any meaningful way. -end-

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  4. 4. velj

    27/ People used to call programmers the new blue collar workers of our time. Coders are programming their existences into oblivion with better GUI front environments. talks about the effect in technological disruption, and it’s hard to disagree with him.

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  5. 4. velj

    26/ All in all, it’s not a great time to be labor.

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  6. 4. velj

    25/ Companies will seek technological alternatives to human rate limiting activity (cc Surgeries & Auris, ) or where it becomes...just plain cheaper to use a robot ($MCD). The pressure here comes from both sides as new and more efficient processes are discovered.

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  7. 4. velj

    24/ Josh has a very interesting point and I think one that is incredibly important to the marketing of Lux Capital’s (well positioned) funds. As margins begin to compress, the switching costs of transitioning away from human labor are increasingly abated.

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  8. 4. velj

    23/ Many “investment professionals” out there have been calling for “Peak Earnings” (cc “Peak Oil”) for quite some time, citing maturing companies, business cycles, technological deflation, stagnating economies, etc.

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  9. 4. velj

    22/ Now that large *trusted* distribution platforms exist like , Does anyone really need “Domino Sugar,” or can you trust that Amazon will make sure Whole Foods 365 organic sugar is just as good? But I digress.

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  10. 4. velj

    21/ Trust is moving to the aggregator and away from brands. Branded products were extremely valuable when they served as signposts of quality control for buyers unsure of the trustworthiness of the distribution channel they were purchasing through.

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  11. 4. velj

    20/ Trust as a feature (TaaF!) is users allotting companies like the trust to deliver goods into their homes and eventually their cabinets (convieniently using locks, another Lux portfolio company).

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  12. 4. velj

    19/ But as Josh said, the problem with the Facebook Portal home device is that it lacks the most important feature—trust.

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  13. 4. velj

    18/ Also ’s point in his recent post, has been spending $$$$$ on security, which could cause a narrative shift

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  14. 4. velj

    17/ ...It’s not hard to imagine Zuck ends the decade being praised as a result of the great work of the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative.

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  15. 4. velj

    16/ Last point on , Josh notes that Reardon from CTRL-labs commented that even though was once before Congress / Bill Gates lambasted by public, we’ve ended with him being this incredible figure today who is curing malaria and fighting poverty...

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  16. 4. velj

    15/ Portability of data & customer experience is one of ‘s main China problems. WeChat ($TCEHY) provides many services in one app that can be moved to any phone, while legacy Apple users in USA have significant switching cost friction from contacts, photos, music, etc.

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  17. 4. velj

    14/ Side note: I’m not too confident the BCI transition is fast, but it is a huge *very* long-term threat for handset companies like and (less so) as it creates the ultimate portability of data, which is probably what is angling for here over time.

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  18. 4. velj

    13/ We are probably the last keyboard-native generation, and every step down the curve brings new collaboration and innovation. Exciting things to come.

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  19. 4. velj

    12/ the very old and very young are using voice frequently, and thanks to CTRL-labs more will be using gesture in the future. The game ends with fully integrated BCI’s bordering on telepathy.

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  20. 4. velj

    11/ Too far to gauge meaningful progress, but it’s safe to assume the natural gravity of communications technology is towards decreasing friction. Next step after tapping screens is voice (Alexa/Siri) & gesture (CTRL-labs).

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  21. 4. velj

    10/ We are a long way from high-functioning non-invasive BCI’s, but a few companies like ’s Neural Link are trying to moonshot this. Check out ’s great work on this:

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