Thread: Today I am reporting official all-cause mortality from the state of Madhya Pradesh - with 84.5 million people, it is India’s 5th most populous state. It was also India’s fifth poorest state as of 2020. It is predominantly rural, with just 29% of its population in cities.
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The increase is in Bhopal and Indore yes, but also in smaller cities and rural districtspic.twitter.com/exr6k2gg84
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Some quick takeaways (more detailed to follow later): 1. We shouldn't assume that excess mortality in less developed states will be at the relatively modest scale of that in big cities (Chennai, Kolkata, Mumbai)
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2. The second wave struck hard (seen this in Chennai and MP now) so we shouldn't keep relying on some 2020 data that we have to assume that there wasn't a covid-related surge in deaths
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3. The scale of under-reporting suggested from cities like Mumbai and Chennai was modest. But with the caveat that all excess deaths are not from covid, the excess mortality in Apr-May 2021 in MP was *42* times the official covid death toll.
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4 and last. Keep pushing for more data from all states, friends! cc
@muradbanaji@jburnmurdoch@ArielKarlinskyShow this thread
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190,000 vs 4,500? Gosh.. and versus last year excess tolls?
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wow! 42 times!!!!
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Bonjour, the unroll you asked for: Thread: Today I am reporting official all-cause mortality from the… https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1403561579577151498.html … Enjoy :)
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