The heat wave assessment in that report shows the 1930s as having the most heat waves in the US was done by these scientists in the 4th US NCA https://science2017.globalchange.gov/chapter/6/ pic.twitter.com/y6WWHrtcKN
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The heat wave assessment in that report shows the 1930s as having the most heat waves in the US was done by these scientists in the 4th US NCA https://science2017.globalchange.gov/chapter/6/ pic.twitter.com/y6WWHrtcKN
In turn, the assessment of the US NCA relied on an expert workshop that produced a peer reviewed paper which concluded: "the highest number of heat waves occurred in the 1930s, with the fewest in the 1960s" https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00066.1 …pic.twitter.com/usyWvQEBrL
Hilarious: The Twitter mob turning on the heat wave data have discovered that the original sin can be traced to one of my papers (based on work of my co-author Ken Kunkel, heat wave expert at NOAA & US NCA author) https://twitter.com/ClimateOfGavin/status/1429196857809514496?s=20 … Our paper: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1999)080%3C1077:TFIWAC%3E2.0.CO;2 …
So let's put a pin in this
When NCA5 comes out let's check back see if Ken Kunkel remains an NCA contributor and if the hot 1930s disappear in the next NCA 
And let me say, Twitter science or not The longstanding evidence that the 1930 were exceptionally hot in the US will be difficult to erase eg, https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-012-0659-2 …pic.twitter.com/Lx1xSiT0Kz
That said, there are a lot of ways to define a "heat wave" so surely one of these will give the right answer
pic.twitter.com/V4KrezIvF1
My advice? The easiest way to address the off-message 1930 heat waves would be to start the analysis in 1950 like the IPCC AR6pic.twitter.com/i7tmXHE7a2
Down the rabbit hole I go... Prof Andrew Dessler takes aim at our paper that first used the heat wave index adopted by the US NCA & the EPA He asks: Why this definition of a heat wave? It's a fair question And it is clearly answered in our paper that he links to...pic.twitter.com/UnmkMhxQ0q
We explain clearly that a "heat wave" as used in our paper is based on research showing that this definition is associated with increased mortality It is thus a metric of a heat wave that indicates indicates societal impact & not at all arbitrary https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1999)080%3C1077:TFIWAC%3E2.0.CO;2 …pic.twitter.com/rbmvBai5Vz
A very funny side note
I've long known that my old collaborator Ken Kunkel helped write the US NCA
But until today I was unaware that our paper's methods (L) are the basis for the USNCA heat wave index (R) which I've shared many times
That's gotta make the Twitter mob insane
pic.twitter.com/Ra7wpvuiFU
Our 1999 paper (which remains one of my most cited) quantified trends in weather and climate extremes that cause economic and human impacts https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1999)080%3C1077:TFIWAC%3E2.0.CO;2 … It was a fun paper, not least because I got to collaborate w/ the legendary Stan Changnonpic.twitter.com/WSgtSw8ubR
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