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  1. Retweeted
    Jan 8

    Thank you and The Real Story for giving us time today for a serious discussion of the future of foreign policy. Now watch out for an excellent paper on this subject to be published next week by

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  2. Retweeted
    Jan 7
    Replying to

    This poll is getting a lot of attention. It was conducted in the space of just a few minutes in the middle of the events. I am and continue to be very, very, very skeptical of whether these results could be or would be or will be replicated.

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  3. Jan 7

    Those who assaulted the US Capitol may be fantasists, thugs, criminals. But they are not “terrorists”. Reserve that for those who murder civilians for political ends. Otherwise we legitimise Xi Jinping, Erdogan et al in using this term to justify repressing their opponents

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  4. Jan 7
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  5. Jan 6

    Trump for President in 2024 now looks implausible. comment to tonight may prove correct. But delivering over 70 million votes in November means Trump will remain very influential in US politics, however criminal and despicable his actions

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  6. Jan 6

    Trump’s determination and desperation to hang onto power knows no bounds. He is willing to foster violence and pull down the foundations of American democracy to feed his insatiable ego. All those politicians who stand with him through this shameful spectacle are complicit

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  7. Retweeted
    Jan 4

    'Until the Chinese leadership experiences the downsides of its statist and authoritarian model and sets China on a new path, the North Atlantic and Asia-Pacific worlds will continue to diverge.' Read 's analysis via on what happens in 2021 and beyond

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  8. Jan 4
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  9. Jan 4

    China and its neighbours have emerged stronger from the pandemic. US & Europe are focused on managing the C19 fallout. It’s too late for liberal democracies to set the terms for how China develops its economic power. Some of my thoughts

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  10. Retweeted
    28 Dec 2020
    Replying to

    Only caveat is that deeper EU integration only works when there’s economic growth - so EU solidarity could falter quite quickly without growth

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  11. Neat, to-the-point assessment of the realities of the UK-EU deal by

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  12. I have not read the deal in detail, but Raoul’s thread is a fair assessment. The one missing point is financial services which are specifically excluded from MFN treatment and commitments to future review. The EU has been punitive in one of the most important sectors for the UK

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  13. Good thread as usual by on where the UK-EU relationship has been and where it may go from here, now the deal is struck.

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  14. Doing a little Xmas Eve homework on the UK-EU deal ahead of sharing thoughts on tonight’s ⁦⁩ ⁦⁩ - I found this assessment by ⁦⁩ has some useful additional detail, as always

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  15. On Tuesday, resolution of the Irish border question looked like the prelude to UK striking a bargain with the EU. Now it looks like an insurance policy for UK relations with the Biden administration if there is no deal.

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  16. Removing the clauses in the Internal Market Bill that could have broken the Withdrawal Treaty is important for one reason in particular. It may enable the EU to ease its demands for retaliation measures in the FTA that the UK cannot accept

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  17. The current UK-EU stalemate is not just over level-playing field, governance and fisheries. It’s also over the lack of EU trust in the British government’s word, following its threat to breach the Withdrawal Agreement’s protocol on the Irish border

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  18. This article by ⁦ is a reminder that one of the most important domestic byproducts of Biden’s victory will be to halt the Trump administration’s cynical conversion of the EPA into a pollution-approving agency

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  19. Good to participate in discussion of Macron’s latest interview on the need for more European strategic autonomy But my sense is he has sharpened divisions in the EU on foreign policy and left a sour taste for the incoming Biden administration

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  20. Retweeted
    26 Nov 2020

    and commenting Macron's interview, agree: basis for strategic autonomy is agreement on substance in foreign policy. 🇨🇵 does little to make this possible, uses EU leverage for its own objectives, says . Great panel dicussion.

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