It appears to me - anecdotally - that the long-term trend is that closed-source is going away. The proportion of open-source code vs. closed-source code in most computing systems has been trending up for 20 years.
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Open/closed source is not the most relevant distinction anymore; it's now company-driven vs. community-driven. Even if the source is open, companies can pour more resources into some FOSS than a volunteer community ever will, and effectively control it.
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You just need to look at systemd for an example. Red Hat used its huge manpower, and some commercial/lobbying power, to make sure it would be used A volunteer community would never have pulled off that shit: it works slowly, on technical merit.
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Money and manpower influx from big companies into FOSS change the dynamic from an "evolution selects technically sound software" model to a "companies decide what software gets to live" model. Openness of the source doesn't matter if users don't get to choose.
End of conversation
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