Dems' only hope for the midterms (but also one I'm not ready to dismiss): that the current GOP coalition is overly reliant on peripherally engaged voters who only bother to show up when Trump is on the ballot.
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And the likelihood of that is petty high since he won't be on any ballots next year...
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Well this is one of the most terrifying things I’ve read lately especially coming from you, Dave.
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so far this seems to be a reasonable theory of the case, in the absence of evidence against it.
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How about another source of hope? That the resistance we built for the last 4 1/2 years keeps going. That we continue to organize.
Cuz that's a thing still.
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Environment matters. Turnout matters. But so do candidates. Melanie Stansbury was a tested, left-of-center candidate who ran a good race and raised a good amount of money.
Dems have to run candidates who fit the district. And “the woke wing” of the party has to let them be.
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Not the only hope, Dave. In 2022, the Dem field program returns in force- ie, door knocking and the like. Yes, only helps on the margins but I'll take 2% margins in the key races.
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Is this primarily due to redistributing massively favoring R’s?
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