U.S. House editor of the nonpartisan @CookPolitical Report w/ @AmyEWalter. Nerd for 
maps, 
data, 
ski slopes & 
trad tunes. Has seen enough.
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A few points: 1) Black & Latino turnout wasn't particularly great in '16, and even a modest increase vs. '16 would boost Biden 2) Polling has told us all along that Black/Latino Dems are more skeptical of VBM than white Demshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-30/biden-aides-see-warning-signs-in-black-latino-turnout-so-far …
In other words, we've known all along that Biden's most promising path to 270 isn't running up a huge turnout advantage among non-whites so much as winning a higher *share* of whites. The biggest obstacle to 270 for Trump remains defections of white women & seniors.
no we need our dems in disarray articles for those sweet clicks
If it keeps ppl on their toes and results in literally any additional votes, I'm all for it.
What’s VBM?
Vote by mail
Someone noted a Harvard study that found Black and Latino voters more likely to vote on election day due to concerns their votes won't be counted any other way. That seems plausible to me, and hopefully all the early voting will avoid the enormous waits you often see on E day.
Vbm is Vote by mail
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