Dave WassermanOvjeren akaunt

@Redistrict

U.S. House editor of the nonpartisan Report & contributor. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, 📈 election data, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes.

Washington, DC
Vrijeme pridruživanja: rujan 2009.

Tweetovi

Blokirali ste korisnika/cu @Redistrict

Jeste li sigurni da želite vidjeti te tweetove? Time nećete deblokirati korisnika/cu @Redistrict

  1. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    So basically, right as Bernie is going to pass Buttigieg, they are going to (correctly) revamp the delegates to put him back in 2nd place? Milwaukee is going to burn to the ground this summer.

    Poništi
  2. Who would have a better chance of beating Trump in Arizona this November?

    Prikaži ovu nit
    Poništi
  3. Who would have a better chance of beating Trump in Wisconsin this November?

    Prikaži ovu nit
    Poništi
  4. Will the DNC still be focused on a recanvass of an IA caucus (essentially a delegate tie) when the race is hurtling towards a contested convention where virtually no “normal” people/media are familiar with the rules?

    Poništi
  5. In retrospect, it was format: Obama simply crushed caucuses b/c he had more passion in the left. It would be a mistake to read too much into IA b/c there are barely any other caucuses in 2020.

    Poništi
  6. If Biden comes back and scores a decisive win in SC, I’ll be curious to see if media types credit some heartstrings-pulling moment on the trail (a la Clinton tearing up in ‘08) when all it really was was...demographics.

    Poništi
  7. I don’t see how a party that generally believes the person who wins the most votes should win the WH will continue to stand for a format where the person with the most supporters isn’t necessarily the “winner.”

    Poništi
  8. Translation: we may not know who “won” the IA caucuses until after Super Tuesday...and we may never have confidence in the result at all.

    Poništi
  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    There are more than 100 precincts in Iowa with some kind of irregularity or inconsistency in the returns across one of the various vote counts, according to our analysis, easily covering the narrow margin in the race

    Prikaži ovu nit
    Poništi
  10. Iowa should be proud of having one of the fairest, least politicized approaches to redistricting in the country. But the IA Dem Party’s approach to calculating a caucus winner is one of the most unnecessarily byzantine, arbitrary, unequal and error-prone things I’ve ever seen.

    Poništi
  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    21. sij

    In the 2018 CA49 primary, Jacobs' grandfather, billionaire Irwin Jacobs, contributed $2.5 million to the Women Vote! PAC, which subsequently spent $2.3 million in the primary on media buys supporting Jacobs.

    Prikaži ovu nit
    Poništi
  12. The only indisputable, non-incumbent winner of an Iowa caucus held in the past decade (either party): Ted Cruz

    Poništi
  13. My apologies for miscalculating/underestimating the impact satellites could have on the SDE count. Try hard on here to make sense of election returns quickly, but this IA count has posed some...unique challenges, to say the least.

    Poništi
  14. Just when you thought Iowa math couldn't get more convoluted...

    Poništi
  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 24 sata

    what's happening: Sanders's campaign clearly organized satellites. (Some were on campuses; some in mosques; one for Spanish speakers; etc.) Big turnout there for only his team. Few other campaigns had presence there: Buttigieg seems totally absent. Paying major, major dividends.

    Prikaži ovu nit
    Poništi
  16. Poništi
  17. In Howard Co., IA, the only county in America that voted for both Obama '12 & Trump '16 by more than 20%, Dem caucus turnout was down by 57% (!) vs. 2008, from 631 to 270. Not a great sign of Dem enthusiasm there.

    Prikaži ovu nit
    Poništi
  18. To put this in a better context: Monday's turnout of 255 Democrats in Clarke Co. was down *55%* from the 568 who showed up in 2008 (statewide, it was only down about 29%). In 2012, Obama carried Clarke Co. 50%-48%. In 2016, Trump carried it 61%-33%.

    Prikaži ovu nit
    Poništi
  19. Rural Dem atrophy: in 2012, Obama carried Clarke County, IA 50%-48% over Romney. In 2020, Trump received more than twice as many caucus votes as each of the Dems running even though he didn't face real opposition.

    Prikaži ovu nit
    Poništi
  20. Warren only leading in Johnson Co. (Iowa City) and losing all 98 other counties perfectly illustrates just how dependent she is on college+ white liberals. That’s a huge problem for her viability moving forward.

    Poništi

Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.

Twitter je možda preopterećen ili ima kratkotrajnih poteškoća u radu. Pokušajte ponovno ili potražite dodatne informacije u odjeljku Status Twittera.

    Možda bi vam se svidjelo i ovo:

    ·