The reason it’s never successful is that revolutions - AKA overthrowing the government - only work when the government is overthrown by the people of that country. Revolutions can never bring lasting change by proxy.
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Our government has overthrown dozens of other governments with “regime change” actions since World War II. It has never led us to a better long-term result than what we started with. And it’s actually easy to understand why. https://williamblum.org/essays/read/overthrowing-other-peoples-governments-the-master-list …
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In a successful revolution, the people who overthrow the government are the people who take over the government. They have “skin in the game.” They have sacrificed, fought, and experienced loss in the fight to overthrow that government.
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They do this because they feel strongly enough about why they have to overthrow the government to experience these losses and still push forward. And the losses they experience harden their resolve to not waste the opportunity for self-determination.
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So, they fight to keep their government, and fight to do their governing well. When someone comes in and essentially overthrows your government for you, then installs you as the new government, there’s no skin in the game, and no expectation of self-determination.
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The new government is designed primarily to be friendly to those who installed it, thus no self-determination. So the new puppet regimes never work. And ultimately, that’s why our habit of “regime change” *never* ends how we hope it will. It can’t. It’s bad policy.
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So, try to keep this in mind whenever we start hurling missiles into sovereign nations. It won’t end up better than it was before. It never has. Because it can’t.
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“I never knew a man who had better motives for all the trouble he caused.” ― Graham Greene, The Quiet American
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