You just have to consider that they lie. Weigh the data accordingly. You said you’re a data guy, why do I have to tell you this?
As things continue to divide there in terms of wealth inequality, my bet is gun crime/homicide rises regardless of gun-ownership levels. It may have already started. I haven't looked. My numbers are from The Guardian in 2012. But that's the answer to that one. Socioeconomics.
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Here, in the US, in this regard, I already touched on our poverty level (20%, with threshold set much lower than in those countries), but add in the war on drugs and resulting social imbalance, lack of universal healthcare, and Reagan defunding our mental-health infrastructure...
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And then you can look at the inequality of school funding for inner cities (because it's often based on local property taxes), which is meant to be offset by federal spending, which *both* parties have been cutting and diverting to charter schools...
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