In this scenario are you predicting a Tillis win?
NC PROJECTED VOTE SHARE(updated to account for earlying voting in NC and using margin of error applied): Donald Trump - 2,410,000 Joe Biden - 2,039,000 This is outside the worst possible margin of error of 175k votes.
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that would mean an 8 point victory
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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In a few hours, you essentially called your original model garbage and changed numbers by a few hundred thousand votes. That's a bad look.
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I think Trump will win NC, but why would he win it by a bigger margin than 2016 given where we are with early voting/VBM? Just trying to understand the reasoning.
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Polls.. and ACTUAL numbers are very different
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