Millenarian

@RatFlatBlog

Map Maker // Left🌹-Liberal🗽 Pluralist🤝 // USA // 28 // He/Him // "I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Democrat."

Vrijeme pridruživanja: rujan 2019.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    30. pro 2019.

    I created a map of which party controls each state's governor/legislature from 1790 to 2020. It takes a LONGGGG time to cycle all the way through, but you can view an interactive slideshow version of the GIF on my blog:

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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 3 sata

    I have worked precincts for 20 years. Technology ain't the answer and yet inevitably consultants trot out some new tool. The AP did fast vote counts via telephone and a pad of paer for decades before computers

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  3. prije 3 sata
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  4. prije 6 sati

    What a fucking disaster

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  5. prije 7 sati

    Impression I'm getting so far from scanning precinct reports/vibe:S: Bernie in it but not running away with it, Pete better than expected, Joe worse than expected, Warren ???, Klob is done not viable in most precincts. Obviously this could all be horribly wrong

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  6. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    are we all having fun

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 8 sati

    Sanders and Warren are dominating in college precincts.

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  8. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    New entrance polls of Iowa Democrats: 63% want candidate who beats Trump 35% agrees w/you on issues ** 26% very liberal 40% somewhat liberal 34% moderate/conservative ** 59% college grad 41% no college degree ** 36% — 65+ 27% — 45-64 17% — 30-44 20% — under 30

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 9 sati

    IOWA ENTRANCE POLL.......CNN saying 56% made up mind before January, and 9% just today (17% last few days) (thread)

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  10. prije 9 sati
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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    We can confirm the final results of the unreleased Iowa Poll: Sanders 22% Warren 18% Buttigieg 16% Biden 13%

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    3. velj

    Ouch! China stocks sink 9%, most since 2015, as mkts reopen to crisis after break More than 2,600 stocks fell by daily 10% limit. Beijing vows to ensure financial stability, adequate liquidity. Mainland investors haven’t traded since markets shut Jan23.

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  13. 3. velj

    I've mapped Bloomberg for the first time this cycle. He has more strength in the Eastern US than the West. His strongest states are Florida and New York.

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  14. 3. velj

    Buttigieg has dropped in every state across the board.

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  15. 3. velj

    Pete Buttigieg has dropped below 10% in every state. He is at 8.6% in his home state of Indiana, and his second highest odds are 8.3% in Iowa.

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  16. 3. velj

    Warren has dropped in some states while gaining in others, but most concerning for her our her drops in the early-voting states of Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina.

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  17. 3. velj

    Elizabeth Warren has dropped below 10% odds in all but four states: her home state of Massachusetts, the North-Eastern states of Rhode Island and Connecticut, and Oregon.

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  18. 3. velj

    Since December Biden has lost ground in the PredictIt odds in most states. His biggest drop was in Texas, where he went from an overwhelming favorite to only a slight favorite. He did gain ground in a few states, including Iowa's first-in-the-nation caucuses.

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  19. 3. velj

    Joe Biden's strongest region is still the South. He also shows significant strength in the Rust Belt states like OH and PA, and larger diverse states like IL, TX, NY, and AZ. He is weak in much of the western US and New England.

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  20. 3. velj

    Since my last update in December Sanders has gained in every state (except the 12 states that didn't have a PredictIt market in December). He has increased his odds significantly in the South West, as well as the Upper Midwest, with big increases in his IA and NH odds.

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  21. 3. velj

    Bernie Sander's strongest states are in the West, Upper Midwest, and North-East. He is weakest in the South. Currently PredictIt has him leading in the first caucus of Iowa, an overwhelming favorite in the first primary of New Hampshire, and leads in Nevada, the 3rd state to vote

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