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RaoulGMI's profile
Raoul Pal
Raoul Pal
Raoul Pal
Verified account
@RaoulGMI

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Raoul PalVerified account

@RaoulGMI

Founder/CEO - Global Macro Investor and Real Vision Group, Business Cycle Economist, Investment Strategist, Economic Historian, Traveller and Rum Drinker..

Little Cayman, Cayman Islands
realvision.com
Joined April 2014

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    1. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019

      The Euro has a few percent to go but its shuffling towards the CLIFF edge...pic.twitter.com/rfqDFBtWG6

      3 replies 36 retweets 287 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019

      And the big disturbance in the Matrix is the CNY, which conceivably could go to new all time lows (highs on chart) versus the dollar. It's not my forecast but that chart suggests a higher probability than anyone suggests, even if the odds are still low. It is broken....pic.twitter.com/Skb4CU0zln

      3 replies 34 retweets 267 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019

      And this currency crisis of dollar strength is causing an enormous deflationary wave globally. The CRB is literally the second worst chart in the world, after the EU banks. And we are right on the fucking CLIFF OF DEATH. Right there. Today. I think oil breaks lower, today.pic.twitter.com/YK5C0HapGG

      4 replies 57 retweets 371 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019

      Gold is rightly doing its job, sniffing out a BIG problem and is exploding higher, outperforming even the super strong dollar as gold begins to price in an end game of an eventual MASSIVE readjustment of the dollar (in 12 months? 18 months?) #GOLD $GLDpic.twitter.com/0SnurwU2hM

      14 replies 130 retweets 598 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019

      And $BTC #Bitcoin is doing its job of suggesting an alternative system is gaining in probability (it trades like call option on a new system, in my mind). The price moves are so ENORMOUS (and thus the increase in probabilities are so FAST) that you have to use log charts...pic.twitter.com/ug5bb7P3Lf

      17 replies 219 retweets 974 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019

      And the 10 Yr US bond suggests that bond yields are going to zero, as the deflationary wave spreads like wildfire...pic.twitter.com/2SFEMT2u1R

      3 replies 59 retweets 395 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019

      And short term rates (2's) go to -2% or more (thats how you steepen the curve...yikes!).pic.twitter.com/IMfdeBGDic

      5 replies 24 retweets 277 likes
      Show this thread
    8. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019

      And that is how you totally FUCK the banking system. The EU Banks are RIGHT on the CLIFF OF DEATH.pic.twitter.com/VbbwE1yF8z

      5 replies 89 retweets 503 likes
      Show this thread
    9. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019

      And the Japanese banks are right on the CLIFF OF DEATH too..pic.twitter.com/xL7BIKOPi4

      4 replies 46 retweets 340 likes
      Show this thread
    10. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019

      And that would be the end game for the pension system and a HUGE loss of wealth for Baby Boomer Retirees and the start of the Doom Loop of BBB downgrades and a potential freezing of the corporate credit markets...

      9 replies 102 retweets 555 likes
      Show this thread
      Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019

      You get the picture. Sadly, we are at one of the BIGGEST junctures for markets in history. You may disagree with my assessment of the odds. It doesn't matter. But you simply CANNOT ignore the risk. Bonds. Dollars. Bitcoin and Gold. Thanks for paying attention.

      5:18 AM - 7 Aug 2019
      • 375 Retweets
      • 2,426 Likes
      • Bitcoin_Proponent Niko Grzesiak Surfmarkets Leatherbound ₿ondi.hodl.SOV ☣️🐝 Kevin R. President Elect $20 trillion Maximilius Power r Ⓥsen
      193 replies 375 retweets 2,426 likes
        1. This Tweet is unavailable.
        2. TraderSZ‏ @trader1sz 7 Aug 2019
          Replying to @TraderScarface @RaoulGMI

          Uff

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Mun Hon‏ @munhon71 7 Aug 2019
          Replying to @RaoulGMI

          What would be the catalyst or trigger?

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019
          Replying to @munhon71

          There are literally 30 catalysts. I suggest that you watch some Real Vision to help get up to speed. You'll find it will help enormously.

          1 reply 2 retweets 27 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Doom & Gloom‏ @D_Grules 7 Aug 2019
          Replying to @RaoulGMI

          apart from that, all good right?

          1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
        3. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019
          Replying to @D_Grules

          All quite ticketty-boo

          0 replies 1 retweet 15 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Vm‏ @vmllmk 7 Aug 2019
          Replying to @RaoulGMI

          No mention of yen?:) Japanese pension money flying back home

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. crown‏ @crown0122 7 Aug 2019
          Replying to @RaoulGMI

          amazing analysis & charts before! thanks !!

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Maxydeartino‏ @maxydeartino 7 Aug 2019
          Replying to @RaoulGMI

          You have any idea how much inflation the Fed is going to be unleashing? Long Dollar is financial suicide.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Raoul Pal‏Verified account @RaoulGMI 7 Aug 2019
          Replying to @maxydeartino

          wrong.

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        4. Show replies

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