Jon Ralston

@RalstonReports Are you sure all those Ds voted Hillary? You may be surprised.

@ellen6019 @RalstonReports are you sure R's voted Trump? You may be surprised...

@zackryanfrank72 @ellen6019 @RalstonReports Exactly! ALL the polls show Trump with a Xover vote advantage. Ralston completely ignores this.

@GaryGmahon @zackryanfrank72 @ellen6019 @RalstonReports ACTUALLY, that's not true.

@KellyScaletta @zackryanfrank72 @ellen6019 @RalstonReports No, it is true. Three most recent NV polls show Trump with +5% net Xover vote.

@KellyScaletta Here are the three NV polls: CNN:Trump +3% Xover; 8 News NV:+5% Xover; Rem. Research:+7% Xover. All available at RCP website.

@GaryGmahon In states like NC there is a real trend of "hidden Clinton" voters being Rep. women voting differently than their hubbies.

@RalstonReports Jon, what was the Clark County, Nevada margin in 2012?

@FrankLuntz 71K.

@RalstonReports @FrankLuntz so how is 1k difference a "game over"?

@potential2016 @RalstonReports @FrankLuntz They won by seven points statewide in 2012. You have to make up that plus any additional vote

@jimmyshi03 @RalstonReports @FrankLuntz isnt the overall # of voters be higher this time?

@potential2016 It is. But you need to make up the gap you had last time first, and that assumes new voters are Trump's.

@jimmyshi03 if the overall # of vorers is higher, the fact that the Ds have the same # early advantage would mean they are doing worse?

@RalstonReports http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4543 … http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555 … What are you talking about man

@nov8trumpday @dwsalts @ralstonreports Clark County and Washoe are the two most important counties. Why wouldn't he?

@Nov8TrumpDay @Phil9_9 @RalstonReports Because Dem lead is only have 45k lol that's why

@DWSalts @Nov8TrumpDay @Phil9_9 @RalstonReports we are talking about Clark. Dem lead was about the same statewide in 2012

@zackryanfrank72 @Nov8TrumpDay @Phil9_9 @RalstonReports Link?