Washoe If no more Clark numbers post today, though, this lead will shrink when rurals post. But there tens of thousands of mail ballots to come from Clark....eventually.
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Rural Elko comes in -- helps Trump by 300 votes or so.
Biden by 11,500.
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Lyon, too, not moving dial much.
Shows you disproportionate impact of Clark.
Lyon and Elko are two of larger rural counties.
Biden by 11.5K
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Washoe posted, about even as I suspected.
Biden up by nearly 12K.
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So if Washoe and rurals are about exhausted (or will be soon) and Dem-friendly Clark has tens of thousands of ballots left, this is a very ominous first half-hour for Team Trump.
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Douglas and Nye counties still have a few thousand votes out there to report. That will reduce Biden's lead by a few hundred, maybe a few thousand.
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Super-red Douglas still yet to report. One of larger rurals, had 94 percent turnout in 2016, going to be close to that this time.
But numbers small compared to Clark.
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Missed the big cache from Storey County that reported:
6 votes for Trump and 2 for Biden.
Game. Changed.
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3,556
HERE'S WHERE WE ARE:
Washoe only has few thousand provisionals left -- should be a wash.
Few thousand rural votes left -- Biden will lose 2k max there, probably less.
That leaves Clark and tens of thousands of mail and provisionals. Little chance Dems lose there.
SO...
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Biden is up by 11.4K right now in NV.
Dems are going to win these mail ballots coming in from Election Day and yesterday -- 63K. And they should win them decisively. That leaves 60K provisionals, which have been evenly split.
I see no path left for Trump here.
The path is called “Time.” Every minute that passes without a result gives the thugs, conspiracy theorists and nuts more time to do intimidate, harass and confuse the situation.
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What's Nevadan for "I've seen enough"?
I think we're done here!
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