Biden's average lead has now extended above 8 points -he's led in 58 of past 60 polls, the other two being ties. Trump has not led since February, before the eruption of Covid19. More ppl today think America is heading in wrong direction than at any point in the Trump presidency
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Replying to @GoodwinMJ
Methodology is screwed again. Just like ‘16. Any thoughts?
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Replying to @RaheemKassam @GoodwinMJ
Methodology isn't wrong. Also, bad methodology doesn't make up being that far behind. Trump was on average 3-4% behind in 2016, he is far more behind now and he is far outside margin of error. Anyone blaming bad polling doesn't know about polling.
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Replying to @OffDanielHill @GoodwinMJ
How were your 2016 predictions? Mine were bang on. Like... to the number on the electoral college. Recent CNN polls showing over sampling of left and margins of error around 7%. Which is ludicrous. You sound new to this.
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Replying to @RaheemKassam @GoodwinMJ
I predicted he would win in 2016 apart from I got New Hampshire wrong, I thought he would win New Hampshire. These well respected polls by Morning Consult and others are showing Trump far behind. CNN poll as usual is rubbish, others like YouGov and Redfield are not.
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Replying to @OffDanielHill @GoodwinMJ
Agree with that but remember: pandemic + riots are creating curious push-poll numbers that won’t survive the summer. You have to project forward. especially beyond debates. I think Biden is in very bad shape.
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And btw not that I think the Trump campaign is doing v well on messaging and GOTV plans are totally screwed rn.
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Replying to @RaheemKassam @GoodwinMJ
The debates are key and second corona spike is also key if that happens it's game over for us.
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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