You realise models like this are usually just worst scenario guidance, right? It could be 84%, or 79%. But in a situation where little is known, models will exercise caution in order to preserve human life. Which is more than I can say for a lot of “conservatives”, lately.
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Replying to @JoeySalads @laura_nelson
Well no, that’s not how it works either. As we know more models are adjusted. Why would we NOT do that, lol? Also, we barely knew what the general impact of mitigation would be. Again, models had to assume the worst. Now we know the impact is far BETTER. Don’t be this guy.
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Replying to @JoeySalads @laura_nelson
You’ve just invented an argument (again). Your side keeps doing this. You all need to calm down. Nowhere did I say I believed the models. I’m simply explaining why they say what they say. For some reason you people have kittens about an explanation.
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Replying to @JoeySalads @laura_nelson
If you didn’t have worst case scenarios you wouldn’t have full mitigation. If you didn’t have full mitigation (or near) you’d have a lot more deaths. Look at the UK’s per capita deaths. That’s the result of a “herd immunity” delayed policy response.
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Replying to @JoeySalads @laura_nelson
As I explained on the radio show today, that’s because the models were based on data with death rates from a handful of countries and at the time they didn’t know to build in variables with Italy, for instance, regarding smoking. We still don’t know all aggravating factors.
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Your gripe appears to be that science isn’t precise and can’t see the future. But that’s exactly the type of pseudo science we conservatives usually loathe when it comes to climate change etc. Why be upset that there’s now a range? Be mad at politicians, not models!
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