If Los Angeles County's stay-at-home order were lifted and people resumed their normal habits, 95.6% of residents would be infected with the coronavirus by Aug. 1, this story says:https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-04-10/coronavirus-stay-at-home-order-social-distancing-summer …
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If you didn’t have worst case scenarios you wouldn’t have full mitigation. If you didn’t have full mitigation (or near) you’d have a lot more deaths. Look at the UK’s per capita deaths. That’s the result of a “herd immunity” delayed policy response.
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As I explained on the radio show today, that’s because the models were based on data with death rates from a handful of countries and at the time they didn’t know to build in variables with Italy, for instance, regarding smoking. We still don’t know all aggravating factors.
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At least Raheem is honest....they had to exaggerate like Chicken Little to get the response they wanted....this alsonallows then to take a victory lap when their original models are abject failures.
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Look at Sweden. Less than 1,000 deaths to date. Haven’t locked anything down.
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As you’ve properly surmised, you aren’t dealing with someone of daunting intellectual heft:https://www.popdust.com/joey-salads-congress-2640931759.html …
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