10/ It's very clearly *in* the Imperial report from the 16th March, too. There's no "back track" or "revision". The fact is we have not gone down the "Do Nothing" route. Read for yourself, Page 13: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf …
I know what you're talking about, and I may be an amateur, but your thesis about expertise and amatuerishness makes no sense if you're alleging experts in your own field are wrong, and also amateurs are wrong. Let me guess... only you are correct! How convenient.
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This.
Models should be taken with caution. Typically we should never use only one and should constantly make comparisons, especially as more reliable data emerges. It's ridiculous to cling to one and cry "experts!".
"All models are wrong, but some are useful." -- George Box
End of conversation
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