Raheem KassamVerified account

1/ I see a lot of the Flu-tards and "muh economy" Republicans are out today going, "AH HA!" about Prof Neil Ferguson's revised "coulds". It's really disheartening to see so many fail to grasp the Imperial study, revisions, and the impact of social distancing in the reviews.

2/ Let's get something very, very clear. The 15 days we are being asked to take to stay at home are a MASSIVE contributing factor to the revisions of NHS preparedness, and were ORIGINALLY FACTORED IN *AND* FORECAST. Example follows:

4/ That article, screengrabbed above, is from modelling presented March 16th. Which means it was worked on and established over 10 days ago. These "muh economy" types are not paying attention to the detail, or have flawed motives or faulty comprehension. In some cases all three

5/ But now we are supposedly in much better shape because of the social distancing actions taken (which, let's also remind ourselves, countries that didn't do it fast enough now wish they did) – the market extremists are coming out asking us to prove we saved lives. WTH?

6/ I.e. "Prove that people who were gonna get sick didn't get sick!" That's a nonsense way of framing this. Instead, look to the places already struggling, in the U.S. and abroad, and tell us with confidence that would have happened if we hadn't distanced earlier. You can't.