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1/ I see a lot of the Flu-tards and "muh economy" Republicans are out today going, "AH HA!" about Prof Neil Ferguson's revised "coulds". It's really disheartening to see so many fail to grasp the Imperial study, revisions, and the impact of social distancing in the reviews.
2/ Let's get something very, very clear. The 15 days we are being asked to take to stay at home are a MASSIVE contributing factor to the revisions of NHS preparedness, and were ORIGINALLY FACTORED IN *AND* FORECAST. Example follows:
3/ Over 10 days ago (basically at the beginning of this for Britain), the 20k number was established as a better case scenario. In other words, there is no "BACKTRACK" and folks pretending this is the case should hang their heads in shame.pic.twitter.com/IIAHnV9wbY
4/ That article, screengrabbed above, is from modelling presented March 16th. Which means it was worked on and established over 10 days ago. These "muh economy" types are not paying attention to the detail, or have flawed motives or faulty comprehension. In some cases all three
5/ But now we are supposedly in much better shape because of the social distancing actions taken (which, let's also remind ourselves, countries that didn't do it fast enough now wish they did) – the market extremists are coming out asking us to prove we saved lives. WTH?
6/ I.e. "Prove that people who were gonna get sick didn't get sick!" That's a nonsense way of framing this. Instead, look to the places already struggling, in the U.S. and abroad, and tell us with confidence that would have happened if we hadn't distanced earlier. You can't.
7/ I'm seeing increasing amounts of gibberish from places I never thought I'd see it. I didn't set up Breitbart London back in 2014 for them to publish tripe like this:pic.twitter.com/RpkvdFKYSD
8/ Yes, you read that correctly. So-called "pro life" conservatives stating we are "overvaluing" the lives of older people. Because fuck grandma, right? When you can have artisanal sourdough instead.
9/ All the news outlets and Twitter checkmarks going, "OMG NEIL FERGUSON CHANGES HIS MIND!" Stop listening to them. Unfollow them. They're lying to you. Ask why. Here's what Ferguson said:pic.twitter.com/9cytfbkaIb
10/ It's very clearly *in* the Imperial report from the 16th March, too. There's no "back track" or "revision". The fact is we have not gone down the "Do Nothing" route. Read for yourself, Page 13: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf …
11/ I get it. We ALL want to stop job losses, etc. But inventing false narratives to support this Dow Jones/corporate America line is precisely the reversion to old GOP gibberish that the MAGA world should be seeking to avoid. Cloaking it in pseudo populism is even worse.
12/ So here's the answer. We get through the 15 days. We have less than a week left. Then we can assess opening places that are not inundated with spread. New York is a big no-no. Other places may be, too. But yes, then we have a quick decision and rev the engines.
13/ It would, of course, be far better if this bill that is passing the U.S. Congress wasn't such a dumpster fire of corporate, cronyist trash. We're going to have to take a serious look at ALL politicians implicated is this stitch up. ENDS.
ADDENDUM #1:
Me: A bus is going to hit you! get out of the way!
Person: *gets out of the way*
Person: The bus didn't hit me, why did I need to move!?
(hat tip @MattPalumbo12)
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