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RALee85's profile
Rob Lee
Rob Lee
Rob Lee
@RALee85

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Rob Lee

@RALee85

PhD student @warstudies. Previously @USMC, @ColumbiaSIPA, @CentreAST, and @AlfaFellowship. Focused on Russian defense policy.

Joined November 2015

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    1. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 20 May 2020

      Another video showing an air strike on an Emirati Pantsir-S1. 58/ https://t.me/new_militarycolumnist/34673 …pic.twitter.com/TczuJVZOmX

      3 replies 5 retweets 32 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 20 May 2020

      Rob Lee Retweeted Lost Weapons

      59/https://twitter.com/LostWeapons/status/1262930487716139008 …

      Rob Lee added,

      Lost Weapons @LostWeapons
      View of a Turkish TB2 drone control station while its bombing another alleged LNA/UAE Pantsir. Honestly losing count but it’s claimed like 3 Pantsirs destroyed this week and one captured. Last pic an example pic.twitter.com/NEkaQ7Lc1U
      Show this thread
      2 replies 1 retweet 11 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 20 May 2020

      @emre876204 makes a good point. The videos show two of the Pantsirs with their radars in operation. The Pantsir’s 57E6E missiles’ max range is 20km (detection range is greater) the TB2 with MAM-L is only 8km. So either EW is being employed or the Pantsir crews are incompetent.60/pic.twitter.com/j8wrbfnePo

      13 replies 13 retweets 42 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 20 May 2020

      Rob Lee Retweeted Ali Özkök

      61/https://twitter.com/Ozkok_A/status/1263156012170821633 …

      Rob Lee added,

      0:58
      Ali Özkök @Ozkok_A
      Another video from the GNA that targeted a Pantsir with a drone strike pic.twitter.com/3jhUVLfJI7
      Show this thread
      2 replies 3 retweets 18 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 20 May 2020

      Purpotedly, photo one of the recently damaged Pantsir-S1 in Libya, but it is on a KAMAZ-6560 chassis, not a MAN-SX45 that the UAE purchased. Not sure if this means the UAE also bought KAMAZ variants or if another country is sending Pantsirs to Libya. 62/ https://vk.com/milinfolive?w=wall-123538639_1457983 …pic.twitter.com/IqfrgZZNte

      3 replies 41 retweets 87 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 20 May 2020

      Look's like the same Pantsir-S1 from a video posted yesterday, but clearly with more damage. 63/ https://twitter.com/Oded121351/status/1262664397299859456 …pic.twitter.com/Kf2kop5FFM

      5 replies 6 retweets 24 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 20 May 2020

      Hard to be sure, but it appears the aquisition radar is the newer octagonal-shaped S-band 1RS1-3-RLM radar and not the older rectangular radar (which all Emirati Pantsirs have AFAIK). Syria, Algeria, Iraq, Ethipopia, and some other countries have the newer version. 64/pic.twitter.com/x2nMmORY3V

      5 replies 15 retweets 32 likes
      Show this thread
    8. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 20 May 2020

      Rob Lee Retweeted

      Good point. 65/ https://twitter.com/pfc_joker/status/1263209867793350656 …

      Rob Lee added,

      This Tweet is unavailable.
      2 replies 2 retweets 6 likes
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    9. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 20 May 2020

      The GNA is parading the captured Pantsir-S1 around Tripoli. 66/ https://t.me/new_militarycolumnist/34702 …pic.twitter.com/q12pdy2IIC

      4 replies 16 retweets 27 likes
      Show this thread
    10. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 20 May 2020

      New Clash Report video showing TB2 strikes on Pantsirs in Libya. They are claiming 15 have been destroyed so far, and the video appears to show strikes on 7 of them (most are old footage). 67/ https://t.me/ClashReport/185 pic.twitter.com/1nqNGoiGFX

      5 replies 16 retweets 39 likes
      Show this thread
      Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 20 May 2020

      Pretty sure the footage of these 2 Pantsir-S1 hasn’t been shown before. 68/pic.twitter.com/LGfKRtmflD

      4:45 PM - 20 May 2020
      • 30 Retweets
      • 74 Likes
      • がんぐろ Adem Duygu Asiri kayvan Zibril Dannys Salahuddin Franklin Apaza Noman Zahid🇵🇰🇵🇰 matt (: Олександр Степанюк
      11 replies 30 retweets 74 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 21 May 2020

          The GNA's security chief Fathi Bashagha said at least six MiG-29s and two Su-24s have flown into eastern Libya from Russia's Khmeimim Airbase in Syria, escorted by two Russian Air Force Su-35 fighters, to bolster the LNA. 69/https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-21/haftar-s-forces-announce-air-campaign-against-turkey-in-libya …

          4 replies 6 retweets 14 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 21 May 2020

          Last week the Записки охотника Telegram Channel said that a Russian Tu-154 aircraft landed in Iran's Hamadan Airbase as a stop over as it flew from Russian to Syria, and it was escorted by 6 MiG-29 fighters. Presumably, these are the same fighters. 70/ https://avia.pro/news/rossiya-perebrasyvaet-v-siriyu-shest-istrebiteley-mig-29 …

          3 replies 3 retweets 11 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 21 May 2020

          A clash report info graphic about the recent events in Libya. 71/ https://t.me/ClashReport/189 pic.twitter.com/gXOFzarANR

          2 replies 6 retweets 5 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 21 May 2020

          The LNA posted a video taken from a Turkish Kirpi MRAP’s camera showing it arriving in Libya in February-March 2019 before being captured at the end of March 2020 (when the footage ends). 72/ https://t.me/new_militarycolumnist/34753 …pic.twitter.com/X6OHG9S2gy

          2 replies 6 retweets 17 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 21 May 2020

          73/pic.twitter.com/CW9KF6EeQH

          4 replies 1 retweet 13 likes
          Show this thread
        7. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 22 May 2020

          The Turkish Anadolu news agency released an infographic ID'ing the locations of the 9 Pantsirs they claim were destroyed over the previous 4 days in Libya. 74/ https://vk.com/milinfolive?z=photo-123538639_457460577%2Falbum-123538639_00%2Frev …pic.twitter.com/KuyzMscjun

          4 replies 7 retweets 18 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 22 May 2020

          Rob Lee Retweeted

          75/ https://twitter.com/JMJalel_H/status/1263948617787871233 …

          Rob Lee added,

          This Tweet is unavailable.
          1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
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        9. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          So over the past two days it seems the LNA managed to shoot down 2 Turkish TB2 UCAVs and one Wing Loong II UCAV (friendly fire). 76/ https://vk.com/milinfolive?w=wall-123538639_1461717 …pic.twitter.com/ir4EZTJ4TD

          1 reply 7 retweets 13 likes
          Show this thread
        10. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          Rob Lee Retweeted AbdulGhani Almakki  🇱🇾

          Certainly look like Russian private military contractors. 77/https://twitter.com/AbdulGhaniLibya/status/1264250072923070466 …

          Rob Lee added,

          AbdulGhani Almakki  🇱🇾 @AbdulGhaniLibya
          صور المرتزقة روسية في بني وليد !!! pic.twitter.com/zrHO5BWTZF
          1 reply 3 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        11. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          Rob Lee Retweeted

          78/ https://twitter.com/HasairiOuais/status/1264251380228857856 …

          Rob Lee added,

          This Tweet is unavailable.
          1 reply 6 retweets 11 likes
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        12. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          The Msta-B 152mm towed howitzer was arguably the main workhorse of Russia's intervention in Syria, especially when equipped with Krasnopol laser-guided artillery rounds. 79/

          3 replies 4 retweets 19 likes
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        13. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          Also spotted today was a 122mm D-30 howitzer being towed by a, presumably Russian PMC, technical. 80/ https://t.me/grey_zone/2940 pic.twitter.com/csUOXDu8lr

          1 reply 3 retweets 18 likes
          Show this thread
        14. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          One obvious question is whether Turkey will try to strike Russian PMC convoys with their UCAVs, which now lack air defense coverage after the loss of the Pantsir-S1s, or whether they will try to limit their air strikes to LNA and non-Russian forces (as they did in Idlib). 81/

          4 replies 2 retweets 16 likes
          Show this thread
        15. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          Deliberate targeting of Wagner will almost certainly lead to a strong Russian escalation, and the decision to send MiG-29 fighters may have been a primarily defensive move to protect Russian PMC contractors from TB2 UCAVs (with the option of using them for offensive missions).82/

          4 replies 5 retweets 19 likes
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        16. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          Another video showing a large convoy of technicals and an Emirati Pantsir-S1, presumably from today. 83/ https://t.me/milinfolive/60493 …pic.twitter.com/MWBRh2zeda

          5 replies 10 retweets 24 likes
          Show this thread
        17. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          Rob Lee Retweeted

          84/ https://twitter.com/HasairiOuais/status/1264274292419760129 …

          Rob Lee added,

          This Tweet is unavailable.
          2 replies 4 retweets 8 likes
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        18. This Tweet from @RALee85 has been withheld in response to a report from the copyright holder. Learn more
        19. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          Screenshots of that Pantsir-S1 on a KAMAZ-6560 chassis. Since that variant of the Pantsir isn’t in service with UAE (AFAIK), seems most likely that Russian PMCs are operating their own Pantsirs. A photo emerged this week of another KAMAZ-6560 Pantsir-S1 that was destroyed. 86/pic.twitter.com/P6H2emfX5f

          5 replies 48 retweets 91 likes
          Show this thread
        20. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          AFRICOM's Gen. Stephen Townsend said the same while testifying to Congress in March. This seems like the best explanation for seeing that variant of the Pantsir-S1 in a Russian PMC convoy in Libya. The UAE has lost at least 20% of their 50 Pantsirs. 87/ pic.twitter.com/qALmoAGBvwpic.twitter.com/d4M3MImudI

          3 replies 16 retweets 22 likes
          Show this thread
        21. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          There were at least two Russian Tigr vehicles (I think Tigr-M but can’t tell for sure) in the convoy which are standard across the Russian military. 88/ Last Photo: Vitaly Kuzminpic.twitter.com/jixvPLVUy5

          3 replies 20 retweets 43 likes
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        22. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          Also that same tan 6x6 MRAP (not sure what kind) that photographed earlier. 89/pic.twitter.com/WEZ0N4oxFK

          4 replies 15 retweets 30 likes
          Show this thread
        23. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          More photos from that Russian PMC convoy with Tigr-M and Ural-4320 vehicles. 90/ https://t.me/new_militarycolumnist/34921 …pic.twitter.com/4hyqiOZra1

          2 replies 13 retweets 23 likes
          Show this thread
        24. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          Rob Lee Retweeted

          91/ https://twitter.com/HasairiOuais/status/1264293527183335424 …

          Rob Lee added,

          This Tweet is unavailable.
          1 reply 3 retweets 4 likes
          Show this thread
        25. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 23 May 2020

          Look's like an M-30 122mm howitzer behind the BM-21 Grad MLRS in that video. A bunch of the techincals in the earlier video are carrying either a large mortar or possibly more M-30s. 92/pic.twitter.com/aLxPhIiMd0

          5 replies 3 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        26. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 24 May 2020

          It seems the LNA shot down another of their Wing Loong II UAVs, the second in two days. 93/ https://twitter.com/TSKMap/status/1264481265841045504 …pic.twitter.com/N1DxqU4Uhw

          2 replies 11 retweets 35 likes
          Show this thread
        27. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 24 May 2020

          Among the equipment left behind by retreating GNA forces (and Russian PMC) in southern Tripoli was a MON-200 anti-personnel mine. 94/ https://vk.com/milinfolive?w=wall-123538639_1463680 …pic.twitter.com/r3EXsmfJpS

          5 replies 3 retweets 27 likes
          Show this thread
        28. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 24 May 2020

          Rob Lee Retweeted il kanguru

          95/https://twitter.com/il_kanguru/status/1264563489290563585 …

          Rob Lee added,

          il kanguru @il_kanguru
          geolocation of picture of pantsir s1/sa-22 leaving bani walid 31.736551, 14.013234 https://twitter.com/EbrahimGasuda/status/1264550619312017408 … pic.twitter.com/ZWJaABKOfx
          1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
          Show this thread
        29. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 24 May 2020

          Rob Lee Retweeted

          96/ https://twitter.com/HasairiOuais/status/1264576749414887425 …

          Rob Lee added,

          This Tweet is unavailable.
          1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes
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        30. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 24 May 2020

          Rob Lee Retweeted قناة ليبيا الأحرار

          Video showing LNA An-26 military transport aircraft landing at Bani Walid Airport, and one of those Pantsir-S1 air defense systems on a KAMAZ-6560, likely operated by Russian private military contractors. 97/https://twitter.com/libyaalahrartv/status/1264634953674952707 …

          Rob Lee added,

          1:47
          قناة ليبيا الأحرار @libyaalahrartv
          صور حصرية لليبيا الأحرار تظهر منظومة دفاع روسية ببني وليد أثناء مغادرة مرتزقة #فاغنر مطار المدينة pic.twitter.com/gOsP9KHN7T
          1 reply 6 retweets 9 likes
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        31. Rob Lee‏ @RALee85 24 May 2020

          Likely the same Pantsir-S1 on a KAMAZ-6560 chassis seen in yesterday's Russian PMC convoy today at the Bani Walid Airport. 98/pic.twitter.com/6r8vV55uSz

          1 reply 2 retweets 7 likes
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