Sorry not global warming, I mean climate change. Old habits die hard.
if every time your model turns out to be shitty you recalibrate it to fit the newest data, that doesn't magically make a less-shitty model cargo cult
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It's mire like getting more data and improving the model but hey I would rather trust the bulk of expert in that field than the guy crunching numbers in his basement anyday.
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bottom line is, do you believe future events will bear out the model predictions or not? if you do, eventually you'll get embarrassed. if you don't, you don't rly "trust" your experts... you're rooting for them like a sports fan
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I think they already do.
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But we'll need a few more year to be even more sure of the models.
End of conversation
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