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QuasLacrimas's profile
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@QuasLacrimas

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@QuasLacrimas

qvi•petere•a•popvlo•fasces•sævasqve•secvres•imbibit•et•semper•victvs•tristisqve•recedit

Joined October 2016

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    1. tantum‏ @QuasLacrimas 3 Jan 2017

      The way Trump is using the lame-duck period to bully corporations with threats about his future policies is insidiously brilliant

      1 reply 3 retweets 3 likes
    2. tantum‏ @QuasLacrimas 3 Jan 2017
      Replying to @QuasLacrimas

      Execs think "if the proposed bill fails, I'll have to do X; if it passes, I'll have to do Y; X > Y; so I oppose the bill"

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    3. tantum‏ @QuasLacrimas 3 Jan 2017
      Replying to @QuasLacrimas

      And so they go whine to their congressmen about how much money they could lose if they have to do Y, promise some donations...

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. tantum‏ @QuasLacrimas 3 Jan 2017
      Replying to @QuasLacrimas

      But! here's the thing: X > Y doesn't mean that, once you have already started doing Y, it's profitable to do X.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. tantum‏ @QuasLacrimas 3 Jan 2017
      Replying to @QuasLacrimas

      There are fixed costs, lots of contracts to sign, "pipelines". Once you start Y, Y may be forced even if bill fails

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      tantum‏ @QuasLacrimas 3 Jan 2017

      And if other companies haven't done Y, and you're stuck in low-profit Y while competitors do X, you're actually in big trouble

      4:28 PM - 3 Jan 2017
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. tantum‏ @QuasLacrimas 3 Jan 2017
          Replying to @QuasLacrimas

          Exec is meh on Y, but he evaluates Y only cuz that's genuinely best choice IF the bill passes. So now he wants bill to pass!

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. tantum‏ @QuasLacrimas 3 Jan 2017
          Replying to @QuasLacrimas

          If Trump can terrify a sufficient number of companies that they decide doing Y later isn't enough, they need to start Y now,

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. tantum‏ @QuasLacrimas 3 Jan 2017
          Replying to @QuasLacrimas

          then the whole political calculus of corporations for his protectionist bills/against his protectionist bills shifts.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. End of conversation

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