This strongly suggests that the effect is causally mediated through paternal genes (low-SES moms get low-SES dads anyway, but children of high-SES moms mean-revert further if father is chosen randomly)https://twitter.com/lymanstoneky/status/1052081538962051072 …
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Replying to @QuasLacrimas
Jesse Abraham Lucas Retweeted Lyman Stone
I disagree with his conclusion though https://twitter.com/lymanstoneky/status/1052082295539097600 … Marriage/community are social techs developed to alleviate bad-father effects; across a population, where marriage is more common social ills associated with single motherhood are less
Jesse Abraham Lucas added,
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Replying to @JesseLucasSaga
That's sound although I do think we need to be serious about asking: what evidence would we accept that intact family *doesn't* matter?
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Replying to @QuasLacrimas
And what happened to the neighborhoods in the 20th century could have been something like mutation load? Interesting thought. I'd say a population where intact families don't outperform non-intact ones. Lots of confounds though.
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Replying to @JesseLucasSaga
I think the idea of separating it from economic effects is also misguided; the q. they mean to ask is "Well could we solve it with transfer payments?" but those create their own problems
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Replying to @QuasLacrimas @JesseLucasSaga
It could well be the case that *all* the problems intact families solve are *exclusively* economic (at least, at the first order) and still be the case that they are the unique solution
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Replying to @QuasLacrimas
It's also simplistic to imagine that separation implies all these bad traits in fathers. At the very least bad mother genes could be causing trouble too; we don't know if those bad dads are successes elsewhere.
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Replying to @JesseLucasSaga
no, read the thread; that is specifically excluded because they have sororal controls
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Replying to @JesseLucasSaga @QuasLacrimas
Also, externalities created by other married parents in the neighborhood/school peer environment shouldn't be excluded from the consideration of causal impacts of marriage. My guess is in aggregate, especially due to shrinking family size, they are the main mechanism of impact.
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Right. Even in nice '50s suburbs with intact families, the kids with shitty parents attached themselves to the more stable families. I imagine that goes all the way down... basically leeching stability
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