One lie told under oath is disqualifying for a prospective Supreme Court justice. If you believe he told just one lie, that's sufficient to disqualify him.https://twitter.com/DouthatNYT/status/1047883480804315136 …
One *proven* lie. Silver is saying that he isn’t certain Kav told the truth on multiple points so (he thinks, b/c he is bad at math) that makes it likely that he must have lied somewhere
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You can suss out the fallacy here if you look at it this way: “I dont trust Kavanaugh” “So anything he says I’m not 100% sure of” “So as he says more things, it becomes inevitable one of them is a lie” “Therefore if I don’t trust him and he says a lot of things, he’s a liar”
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