Nate silver was more right about the results than any other stats guy thoughhttps://twitter.com/RenderuntoG/status/1047868088429903873 …
-
Show this thread
-
If anything the election vindicated him
1 reply 1 retweet 13 likesShow this thread -
-
Replying to @LokiJulianus @rhyncophorous
alt hype had the best prediction, I think it’s still up on his site
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @RussianNGO @rhyncophorous
There were two small polling companies that got it basically right. Merely aggregating data wasn't enough since most pollsters assumed that the Midwestern firewall was unbreachable.
3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes -
you could easily get it right by aggregating data, *even w/o polls*; problem is polls are built around assumptions about turn-out, non-response etc, and these were all v bad
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
There are so few solidly blue districts left we could probably also figure out the Ballot Stuffing Advantage too.
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
lol, i actually doubt that is possible b/c left also has Full Spectrum Media Advantage - hard to disentangle two
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.