w/ today's state pop ESTIMATES from Census.gov we'd expect these gains/losses in House seats h/t
AZ +1
CA -1
CO +1
FL +2
IL -1
MI -1
MN -1
MT +1
NC +1
NY -2
OH -1
OR +1
PA -1
RI -1
TX +3
WV -1
Last seat hinges on small pop diffs
isr.umich.edu/apportionment-
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Tweet with pop details and links to data file at Census.Gov
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Handy state population estimates and voting age pop for July 1, 2020 from Census out today. These are ESTIMATES, NOT the final census data for 2020.
Spreadsheet: www2.census.gov/programs-surve
Webpage w more details: census.gov/programs-surve
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Thanks for "h/t "... But these are not my estimates, and I'm deeply skeptical. See earlier thread.
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4 thoughts about Census's #DemographicAnalysis (analysis that's independent of #2020Census counts).
1st: Very gratifying to see 2020 numbers in 331-335 million range. I'd thought a yr ago that USCB demographers were "shooting low" in their v2019 results.
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Sorry if I misrepresented you. I appreciated the link to the ISR apportionment calculator which I used. I'd tweeted earlier about the estimates being released. And of course it is important to emphasize "estimates" but is see inevitable confusion on that, plus other things.
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As predicted Red states up, blue states down.
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Because of the influx from blue states thinking that voting the same way will get different results. Insanity.
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