looking for the truth in aggregate is just a different kind of tyranny tbh - since when has ‘most people think’ been a good metric for accuracyhttps://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/999367582271422464 …
Main problem seems to be setting the incentives correctly, not the aggregation itself. For instance, prediction markets seem to work better than individual experts, not so much because the participants are so smart but because they put their money where their confidence is.