https://xkcd.com/1968/ is #TheLastDerail in a nutshell. I can try to imagine hypotheses, but I'm not sure why Randall Monroe thinks this a clever thing to say. If I wrote a fictional character saying this straight out, I'd be accused of writing a 2D straw character.
Someone who cannot realize that hundreds of thousands dying is a moderate problem when compared to everyone dying is lacking perspective, no?
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No. The point was that n100k deaths only looks "moderate" because you're comparing to something from a different epistemic category. One thing already happens but you can't see it. The other (the hyperlocal one) is literally all in your head.
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The probably of super human level AI within less than 100 yrs is close to 100% imho. The probability that we can make ALL AI safe is low. Still, even if you put AI Xrisk at 0.001%, you ought to worry more about it than about fully automated predator drones, no?
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i don't think any of the people who died would think about it as "moderate"
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