Two things that can both be true: 1. The world is getting better, by most metrics of human well-being 2. The risk of a major catastrophe is going up over time Yet I often see ppl try to dismiss 2 by saying "The doomsayers are wrong, things are getting better, [argument for 1]"
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Replying to @juliagalef
I strongly suspect that humanity is a bubble, and the party tends to be best right before it bursts. We can cheat entropy only for so long...
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Replying to @Plinz @juliagalef
Entropy isn't going to become a bubble burster for at least trillions of years, assuming no black hole/vacuum mining. It is odd to describe anything we're doing as cheating entropy; it's still increasing as expected
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Replying to @Jotto999 @juliagalef
We are sucking negentropy from our environment at a rate that far exceeds sustainability, and we won't escape this gravity well in time. Also, our sun burns out in ~5Bn years, not trillions.
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Replying to @Plinz @juliagalef
Why would our descendants stick around a dying sun to their doom? Odd prediction. I don't even know if we're talking about the same thing; our impact on the universe's (even solar system's) entropy is vanishingly small. Why conflate that with environmental destruction?
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Replying to @Jotto999 @juliagalef
Because we won't leave the solar system. We are not even able to plan ahead for the next 50 years.
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Replying to @Plinz @juliagalef
Our descendants will find it trivial to spread out. Let me guess: you think oil is about to run out, and that the colossal amounts of energy that we aren't using won't help?
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Replying to @Jotto999 @juliagalef
Energy is solved. We can produce almost unlimited amounts of electrical energy at present prices or below now.
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Replying to @Plinz @juliagalef
So are you predicting that as the prices of fossil fuels rise, the energy sector doesn't respond as it historically has, and just lets itself go out of business? We don't lower consumption? We don't make the effort to convert the oceans of energy out there for our use?
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Not at all. Energy will become cheaper due to renewables. Energy is probably not our problem.
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Replying to @Plinz
Then your prediction is that we never figure out a way to launch rockets post peak oil?
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