Signal vs. Noise - if you have something useful to say, why add the snarky comment?
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Replying to @KittJohnson_ @Plinz
If Human G.I., like Popper and
@daviddeutschoxf. and those who agree, e.g. Kitt and me, conclude that conjecture and criticism are the PB&J of knowledge creation, maybe an AGI would as well. It's possible, even likely...or maybe inevitable (not ironic)? Possibly moronic.2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
The basic rule of epistemology is that the confidence in a belief must equal the evidence that supports it. All knowledge is conditional, you have to retrace everything. Asking for being critical assumes the default is trust in imposed belief, but the default must be sceptic.
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Beliefs have no place in science, nor does ‘confidence’ have any bearing upon whether some theory is true or not.
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Do you believe that?
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I understand the idea, but I don't believe it. You are missing the point. Belief requires an acceptance that something is true, often without explanation. If one wanted to perform an exerperiment correctly, would you a) believe in it or b) perform conjecture and criticism?
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Perhaps we merely disagree about terminology? I would say that I should believe it to the degree to which observation, data, reasoning and conjecture lead me.
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Not terminology - the disagreement arises from conflicting ideas about certainty in science. No amount of evidence can increase the likelihood of something being true. Progress happens via the replacement of theories - which many contain some knowledge - with better ones.
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I agree that the likelihood of the ground truth is unaffected by evidence, but believe that our confidence is.
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I don't believe in dinosaurs, but they are the best explanation for why we see fossils. I believe in dinosaurs because they are the best explanation for fossils. I guess these statements have the same scientific content. But I do prefer the later.
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Once every belief is fully conditional, our modeling is pure symbol manipulation, and ”I” is merely the index of an observer.
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Interesting. What do you mean by "fully conditional"?
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It means that you no longer have a full or partial belief in your world view that you hold unconditionally of its support.
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