What the comp pwr according to you?
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My confidence on my own estimates is low, but I suspect that we might be able to run a person on a laptop in ten years from now, if we had the right algorithms.
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No, the claim is different. You cannot run a person on a C64, no matter how good your algorithm is, because the 64 is many magnitudes too slow and does not have enough memory.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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For you as a computer user that might not make a difference, but it is a big difference to an AI researcher: can I succeed in building a system that performs like us if I have the right idea, or do I need to wait for a another 30 years before we can afford the necessary hardware?
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It's effectively removing an excuse from the equation - it doesn't matter how I design my AI mathematically/programmatically, because computers aren't yet fast enough to run it. When people realize the only thing holding them back is themselves, they will push themselves harder.
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Quite likely! What is yours?
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We can make tiny changes to your brain to reduce your IQ to 0, too. I agree that symbolic AI is not the way to go of course, and that we need more compute than we had in 1980, but we also need better arguments.
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If you're referring to consciousness, I completely agree. It's not understood at all. Personally, I believe consciousness is a form of meta-cognition, i.e. thoughts about thoughts.
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You can also be conscious without thinking. I think of consciousness as an integrated, reflexive model of the contents of our attention.
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