I suspect that any universe that produces regular patterns must have a ground truth. Embedded observers cannot recognize whether their models match the groundtruth, but they may be able to map the (infinite) space of theories that can explain the observations.
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Replying to @Plinz
The anthropologist's dilemma applies equally to the universe in which the observers serve as agents of the cosmos itself.
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Replying to @RitaJKing
Fortunately a cosmos with agency is a figment of the imagination of its agents.
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Replying to @RitaJKing
If we can in principle have no evidence then we must have no confidence. All actions and beliefs based on nonzero confidence in cosmic agency are therefore refering to a fantasy, regardless of the actual groundtruth.
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Replying to @RitaJKing
Yes, I see it as the ability to define and act on one's goals. Kegan's stages describe a ladder of increasing agency.
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Replying to @Plinz
I can go both ways on what I'm about to say but if humans have agency then that may be evidence that the universe does. A subset of those goals may well be in service of the universe's agency.
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Replying to @RitaJKing
I think that agency only makes sense as part of a model of an intentional system: Something must care. The universe is very likely not equipped with means and reasons to care, and even if it did, that could not manifest in ways that ground our own agency.
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Replying to @Plinz
The translation of human-centric motives to the possible agency of the universe doesn't hold up, but that doesn't mean the universe doesn't have some impetus to develop that includes the emergence of intelligent agents within it.
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I think that it may not be the universe, but evolution, and the universe just holds the possibility for evolution. And the global optimum of evolution is not the conscious mind, but the perfect devourer. We are just a defective local optimum.
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