Do you think we’ll create a self-improving AI that is self-improving in a more than linear pace?
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I don't know how to put any probability estimates on it, but self improving AI is quite certainly possible, and a sigmoid is the default pattern one would expect, no?
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Would most of the people that are currently packing boxes or filling Walmart shelves want to do something equally mind numbing?
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The low end jobs won't go away because they already are "perfectly economical" and consist of manual labor. AI won't quickly get us a shelf-filling-bot that knows how to mop up dropped yoghurt. Longer run, at best.
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The question is only when the price of robot labor for that job drops below minimum wage labor. An 80K industrial cleaning robot might be too expensive, but they will soon cost below 20K etc.
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That’s definitely not how it turned out on Battlestar Galactica.
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They probably didn't need architects, veterinarians, nutritionists, custom fashion designers, wall cleaners, euthanasists, bodymodders, divorced parent schedulers, cat psychologists, microfarm technicians, holographic granny nannies, autism whisperers, garden tunnel diggers?
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I salute your perspective on this issue & like the optimistic sentiment. Curios though: Could it be that "bullshit" is exponential?pic.twitter.com/RF9WbAHKt6
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I am affraid that it will be 1 quality job for each 10 bullshit jobs, leaving more and more people having jobs being close to their capacity level and enlarging the gap between the rich and the poor.
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Another solution would be fewer people. Make or break.
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