We don't have one for SARS either. Sorry but the Vaccine People are totally grifting this one. Possible? Sure. Probable? Not. Gotta power through and take the losses.
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Replying to @BurnerZeugirdor @jeeezelouise and
Vaccines against coronaviruses exist, mostly for poultry. SARS vaccine development was stopped once SARS died out. In principle, we might also develop tests that analyze breath spectroscopically, and deploy breathalizers on all airports
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Replying to @Plinz @jeeezelouise and
I am not a chicken with highly compromised immune systems. (Actually worked a chicken farm project) Sure, lots of positives from research but to raise hopes when similar efforts yielded ZERO. Yeah, maybe. Possible. Not likely. Like >50%.
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Replying to @BurnerZeugirdor @Plinz and
<50%. And what about vaccine side effects? Or is that verboten?
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Replying to @BurnerZeugirdor @Plinz and
I trust our immune system more than I trusted politicians and scientists who spending money in pursuits of empires. Because scientists lie all the time. Always for money and position.
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Replying to @BurnerZeugirdor @jeeezelouise and
You don't have to blindly trust them. There are good informal networks of competent people, across institutions, companies, universities and hospitals, which relentlessly vet their own thoughts through the feedback of others. Rants on twitter are not a good alternative.
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Replying to @Plinz @jeeezelouise and
Could not agree more but given where we are we have two options. 1) Trust our immune systems knowing IFR is less than 0.3% 2) Wait in a pine box for a rushed-to-market vaccine that may never even exist. So ... number 1 it is. Not a rant, logic.
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Replying to @BurnerZeugirdor @jeeezelouise and
Where do you take the 0.3% from? That's not consistent with the Diamond Princess, for instance, or the lower bounds we get from NYC. Also note that C19 often produces lasting organ damage (lung, brain, kidneys) even in many mild cases, and it's not clear if survivors are immune.
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Replying to @Plinz @BurnerZeugirdor and
Also wondering where the less than 0.3% comes from. Oxford's CEBM cautiously is saying 0.36%, with lots of uncertainty. https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/ …pic.twitter.com/9V6ANrEr7z
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Replying to @tyler_2023 @Plinz and
US Prisons are experiencing 75% infections rates with zero deaths. But if all you measure are Hospitals and nursing homes .... Sure 100% IFR!
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