Somebody needs to explain the concept of picking a sensible null hypothesis. This is a grossly misleading misuse of the phrase "there is no evidence".https://twitter.com/DrChristineMann/status/1246262180766457857 …
I think you may be confused. Good policy needs to be flexible in time, but optimizing over long-term outcomes. For instance, we might have imposed air travel restrictions and quarantines in January, when it was clear that a pandemic was almost inevitable.
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