I called this in early Feb and it still drives me nutshttps://twitter.com/Plinz/status/1224174200019009536 …
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Btw what’s up with the WHO’s and CDC’s persistent pattern of “I don’t know strong evidence for X (eg asymptomatic transmission, aerosolization, ibuprofen harm, face masks ...), so our null hypothesis must be strongly NOT X”?
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Journalists routinely increase that distortion.
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It could be that they are politically motivated as well as incompetent in PR. And when you're both of those, you'd be flip flopping on everything depending on public response. Their estimates would fluctuate hugely as a result.
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