I'm willing to bet that by 2022 the standard estimate of the median duration of immunity due to recovery from #Covid19 is at least three months. Anyone want to bet against me?https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1244066776910114818 …
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Replying to @robinhanson
C-19 is mutating relatively slowly, slower than seasonal flu, therefore immunity is likely to be longer than one year.
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Replying to @jim_rutt @robinhanson
Shouldn't C-19 mutation speed increase as the number of infected people grow ?
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Yes, it’s effectively a function of number of simultaneously infected people too
1:10 PM - 29 Mar 2020
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