That's from here:pic.twitter.com/o3Oj9va8vx
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It's a complex calculation that is also morally not trivial, and it depends on modeling a distribution of possible ground truths. What irks me is that the CDC and WHO do not seem to make such calculations but apparently pull a misinformed opinion out of their asses.
I'd really like to see that WHO take you referenced, unless it's the "false sense of security" argument, in which case, don't bother. Seen enough of those over the years. I presume they're doing the calculations and then not bothering to communicate them. Also a problem.
That's part of the problem I have with the CDC advice. I think it's based on some hidden assumptions about what costs we should be willing to pay for what benefit.
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