Back-of-the-envelope calculation about why "Flattening the Curve" cannot work in practice, and containment is necessary.https://medium.com/@joschabach/flattening-the-curve-is-a-deadly-delusion-eea324fe9727 …
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Check out the new study from Imperial college: It confirms aspects of your analysis, namely that if you allow the epidemic to sweep through to herd immunity, you exceed healthcare capacity many times over. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf …
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This seems entirely sensible to me. The aim (at least among my colleagues) with
#FlattenTheCurve was never let the epidemic go through the population "slowly". The cost would be much too high. Rather, it gives time for reactive measures once they become politically feasible. - 1 more reply
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