Mea culpa thread! What were you personally wrong about w/r/t Covid-19? How did you change your mind afterwards? I'll go first: I asked the wrong question here. Afterwards I greatly narrowed my belief about which prices always know better than I do.https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1229529150098046976 …
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I think that the first thing to do is the get the public to reduce their level of exposure in the short term and reduce R slightly now. And as it spreads, I expect that we won't need to do much to convince people to stay home - except for a minority that won't listen at any point
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We cannot use linear measures to stem an exponential tide.
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