The Curve is a Lie https://medium.com/@joschabach/flattening-the-curve-is-a-deadly-delusion-eea324fe9727 …pic.twitter.com/zs7P8biJFw
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Don't see how 5% is the worst case. If R0 is 3, you need 66% infected. 20% of those require hospitalization and 100%-epsilon don't get care and die. Worst case is 13.3% dead.
R0 cannot possibly be 3. There'd have been over a million infected in Wuhan and environs alone by mid Feb. I doubt it's even 2+, and likely subtantially lower in USA.
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