Assumptions: 55% (mean betwen 40% and 70%) get infected, 6% critically ill, length of treatment 30 days, normal distribution over 300 days. Note that in reality, this curve is not a normal distribution, but strongly skewed to the left and much more long-tailed.
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It's a tricky balance. If you have suggestions for improvement then you can contact the team behind the model or open an issue on their github (they are very responsive).
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The model allows setting almost all assumptions you want, I just don’t think the defaults are very good.
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