Assumptions: 55% (mean betwen 40% and 70%) get infected, 6% critically ill, length of treatment 30 days, normal distribution over 300 days. Note that in reality, this curve is not a normal distribution, but strongly skewed to the left and much more long-tailed.
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Yes. I think the model I linked to is (intentionally) based on somewhat optimistic assumptions.
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What is the intention?
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