The dynamic model predicts (in a weak mitigation scenario) that 40% get infected and 1.4% critically ill. They assume hospital stays of 4 days (non ICU) and 14 days (ICU).
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I was trying to sketch a totally unmitigated scenario. I will delete the original tweet to avoid people citing it at as a realistic simulation or so.
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Where did the 6% number come from? Thanks for putting this together - the post is helpful.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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